UCV vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
56.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DIA
3 - 0
UCV
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
4 - 0
UCV
72%
19%
10%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
UCV
0 - 6
DEP
16%
24%
61%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
UCV
1 - 0
ARR
20%
24%
56%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +4 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
UCV
0 - 2
DEP
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
MON
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GVA
0 - 1
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
ANG
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |