UCV vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 4
UCV
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
UCV
2 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
UCV
1 - 2
REA
65%
19%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
UCV
2 - 0
MET
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
UCV
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
REA
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
MON
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
ANG
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 4
MON
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
MIN
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |