UCV vs Monagas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ANG
0 - 2
UCV
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
UCV
2 - 1
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UCV
1 - 0
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MIN
4 - 1
UCV
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UCV
1 - 2
TUC
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Monagas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
CAR
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
MIN
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
TUC
2 - 1
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
EST
70%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 2
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |