UCV vs Metropolitanos analysis


70	ELO	71
-5%	Tilt	-23.5%
1382º	General ELO ranking	1426º
4º	Country ELO ranking	6º
ELO win probability

38.5%

UCV

27%

Draw

34.5%

Metropolitanos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%

27%

Draw

0-0

8.3%

1-1

12.8%

2-2

5%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

27%

34.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+22%

-13%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

8

2º

4º

14

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

1º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	14	14	1º	100%
2º	11	11	2º	100%
3º	9	9	3º	100%
4º	8	8	4º	100%
5º	8	8	5º	100%
6º	6	6	6º	100%
7º	6	6	7º	100%
8º	2	2	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	0%	100%
Mid-table	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UCV

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 Apr. 2024	DEP 0 - 2 UCV 55% 26% 19%	68	71	3	0
21 Apr. 2024	UCV 0 - 0 APC 37% 28% 35%	68	73	5	0
15 Apr. 2024	CFC 2 - 2 UCV 58% 25% 17%	68	72	4	0
05 Apr. 2024	UCV 2 - 0 TAC 35% 29% 37%	66	74	8	+2
30 Mar. 2024	DRZ 2 - 2 UCV 41% 30% 28%	66	60	6	0

Matches

Metropolitanos

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
28 Apr. 2024	MET 2 - 0 BAR 54% 25% 21%	71	66	5	0
26 Apr. 2024	MET 0 - 2 LAN 18% 24% 58%	71	86	15	0
20 Apr. 2024	MET 2 - 0 ANG 49% 26% 25%	70	68	2	+1
16 Apr. 2024	APC 2 - 3 MET 52% 25% 23%	69	73	4	+1
12 Apr. 2024	MET 0 - 2 CUI 20% 27% 54%	70	87	17	-1