UCV vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
UCV
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
UCV
2 - 0
GVA
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
UCV
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
UCV
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
UCV
3 - 2
APC
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TUC
3 - 1
ARR
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 3
APC
17%
22%
62%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 1
YAR
16%
24%
60%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARR
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -3 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GVA
5 - 3
ARR
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |