UCV vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
UCV
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
UCV
2 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +4 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ANG
3 - 0
UCV
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
UCV
1 - 2
MET
25%
26%
50%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
UCV
1 - 2
GVA
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
GVA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ARR
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 0
ZAM
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 1
ARR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MET
2 - 0
ARR
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |