UCV vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
UCV
1 - 0
ARA
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MON
0 - 3
UCV
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
UCV
3 - 2
ANG
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
UCV
2 - 2
SCG
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
UCV
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 3
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
2 - 3
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MIN
4 - 1
ARR
55%
22%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ARR
5 - 1
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SCG
2 - 3
ARR
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |