UCV Moquegua vs Tacna Heroica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+373%
+218%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV Moquegua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
UCV
1 - 0
COM
22%
25%
53%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LOS
0 - 1
UCV
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
UCV
3 - 1
SAM
19%
23%
59%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
UCV
1 - 2
COM
24%
27%
49%
|
28 | 63 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 1
UCV
72%
17%
10%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | +2 |
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
COM
2 - 0
EGB
65%
21%
14%
|
19 | 64 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
EGB
2 - 1
CAN
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
SFC
4 - 1
EGB
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 1
EGB
74%
16%
9%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
EGB
3 - 2
COM
20%
25%
55%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | +1 |