UCV Aragua U20 vs Aragua U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CMV
0 - 2
UCA
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 0
SFE
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
UCA
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HEG
0 - 3
ARA
18%
20%
62%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
3 - 0
TUC
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
SFE
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 2
DTA
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DTA
0 - 0
ARA
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |