Ucrania U23 vs Paraguay U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
76.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ucrania U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UKR
1 - 1
EGY
9%
15%
77%
|
9 | 61 | 52 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
JPN
2 - 0
UKR
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 70 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
USA
1 - 0
PAR
36%
23%
41%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
4 - 1
PAR
41%
23%
37%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
4 - 0
PAR
53%
22%
26%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
RDO
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |