Ukraine U21 vs Russia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
UKR
1 - 0
BLR
65%
20%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
UKR
4 - 1
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
TJK
1 - 4
UKR
6%
13%
81%
|
71 | 29 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
UKR
2 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
UKR
2 - 0
KGZ
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
EST
0 - 3
RUS
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 1
KAZ
87%
10%
4%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 0
LTU
86%
11%
4%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
RUS
1 - 0
EST
86%
11%
4%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | +1 |