Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
1 - 1
FIN
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
MLT
2 - 2
UKR
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SVN
2 - 0
UKR
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
UKR
0 - 0
UZB
84%
12%
5%
|
70 | 29 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
UKR
3 - 0
ISR
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
SVN
2 - 0
LTU
67%
19%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MLT
0 - 2
LTU
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
4 - 0
LTU
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 1
SWE
11%
19%
70%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 1
KSA
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |