UCR vs La Suerte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CSH
4 - 1
UNI
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 6
BFC
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LDA
3 - 0
UNI
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
La Suerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
LAS
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
LAS
3 - 0
JFC
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LAS
1 - 3
JAC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
JAC
1 - 1
LAS
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
JFC
1 - 1
LAS
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |