UCR vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LFC
1 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ADC
1 - 2
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
LDA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 0
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSC
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SAP
2 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
PER
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LDA
1 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |