UCR vs San Carlos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
COT
0 - 0
UNI
25%
24%
50%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
ORI
1 - 3
UNI
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
OSA
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
JAC
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
San Carlos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
JFC
1 - 0
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
JFC
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
JFC
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
JFC
2 - 1
ORI
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
JFC
2 - 0
OSA
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |