UCR vs San Carlos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
UNI
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
5 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 2
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
COT
3 - 1
UNI
23%
24%
54%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JFC
4 - 2
COT
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
JFC
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JAC
4 - 1
JFC
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
JFC
3 - 1
LAS
42%
24%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JFC
0 - 1
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |