UCR vs San Carlos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
JAC
2 - 3
UNI
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LAS
2 - 0
UNI
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
JAC
3 - 1
UNI
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
COT
83%
12%
6%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
JFC
1 - 0
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
San Carlos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
JFC
2 - 0
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 3
JFC
53%
22%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
COT
2 - 1
JFC
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
JFC
2 - 3
JAC
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 1
JFC
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |