UCR vs Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
LDA
2 - 1
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAN
35%
28%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PER
3 - 1
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 0
CSH
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 1
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 3
LFC
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAP
1 - 0
GUA
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 3
CSC
37%
30%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ADC
3 - 1
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |