UCLA FC vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCLA FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
UCV
5 - 0
UCL
70%
17%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
UCL
3 - 1
HER
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
TRU
3 - 0
UCL
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
UCL
0 - 3
CDS
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
UCL
0 - 0
ATL
42%
24%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LAR
2 - 1
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
LAR
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
EST
1 - 3
LAR
63%
20%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 0
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
0 - 1
EST
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |