Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
UCAM Murcia vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 1
BAL
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAD
0 - 2
UCA
56%
27%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 0
LIN
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SRQ
0 - 0
UCA
28%
32%
41%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 0
MEL
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
RMC
6 - 1
ROD
83%
12%
6%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TAL
3 - 4
RMC
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RMC
2 - 1
LEI
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
RMC
12%
23%
65%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RMC
3 - 0
GER
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |