UCAM Murcia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
+2
6.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BET
0 - 2
UCA
33%
26%
40%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 0
CAD
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
UCA
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UCA
3 - 0
CRD
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 1
ELD
60%
23%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 1
GRA
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
RJA
17%
30%
53%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RJA
1 - 1
ROD
75%
18%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RJA
5 - 0
ARR
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BET
0 - 2
RJA
20%
30%
50%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |