UCAM Murcia vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
50.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
UCA
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
UCA
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
UCA
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UCA
5 - 1
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +3 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CIE
6 - 2
UCA
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
BET
66%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
MEL
15%
27%
58%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 1
AGD
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 2
MEL
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 0
POL
78%
16%
7%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |