UCAM Murcia vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 1
CEL
21%
25%
55%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 2
NUM
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CDT
2 - 1
UCA
53%
29%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 1
GIR
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RAY
0 - 1
UCA
80%
15%
6%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 3
CDT
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GIR
3 - 1
LUG
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
RAY
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OVI
1 - 1
LUG
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
CAD
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |