UCAM Murcia vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
UCA
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
UCA
0 - 0
HER
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 0
ELD
62%
22%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 2
ALM
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
BET
1 - 1
UCA
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
CCF
0 - 1
LUC
76%
17%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LUC
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LUC
3 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
LUC
54%
25%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |