UCAM Murcia vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ECI
0 - 2
UCA
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
UCA
1 - 0
ALB
22%
26%
53%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CPC
2 - 1
UCA
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAD
2 - 2
UCA
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
UCA
1 - 1
BET
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
BET
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUC
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 0
LUC
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
RJA
46%
29%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |