UCAM Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
IND
2 - 1
UCA
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
UCA
4 - 1
MAZ
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PIN
3 - 1
UCA
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
UCA
3 - 1
JUM
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
3 - 1
UCA
60%
23%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGU
69%
17%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 1
IND
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MAZ
1 - 2
LOR
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
LOR
5 - 0
PIN
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
JUM
0 - 0
LOR
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |