UCAM Murcia vs Esperanza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCA
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UCA
3 - 1
MSM
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ABA
1 - 2
UCA
15%
21%
65%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UCA
0 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PUL
1 - 1
UCA
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 2
IMP
10%
21%
70%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
ESP
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 2
ESP
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 1
AGU
15%
21%
65%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIE
5 - 0
ESP
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |