UCAM Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BET
1 - 1
UCA
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SMR
2 - 1
UCA
29%
26%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
UCA
2 - 1
CDE
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CCF
0 - 0
UCA
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
CSP
1 - 2
UCA
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
LOR
1 - 1
YEC
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LOR
6 - 1
CFC
76%
15%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LOR
1 - 2
MUR
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BET
0 - 0
LOR
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 2
CDE
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |