UCAM Murcia vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
IBI
2 - 0
UCA
25%
29%
46%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UCA
2 - 1
MUR
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CDB
1 - 0
UCA
25%
29%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UCA
2 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 4
UCA
23%
29%
48%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CDE
1 - 0
CAR
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DBN
0 - 1
CDE
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CDE
2 - 0
GRA
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
CDE
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CDE
0 - 1
TAL
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |