UCAM Murcia vs UD Comarca de Níjar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 1
LOR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
IMP
3 - 2
UCA
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
UCA
0 - 0
IMP
23%
26%
51%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +22 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCA
50%
24%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
UCA
1 - 0
PIN
26%
26%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
UD Comarca de Níjar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
NIJ
2 - 0
HUE
65%
22%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 1
NIJ
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
NIJ
0 - 1
REU
38%
27%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
REU
2 - 0
NIJ
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
NIJ
0 - 0
NUC
59%
23%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |