UCAM Murcia vs Calasparra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
RPA
2 - 0
UCA
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
UCA
1 - 1
LOR
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
MAZ
1 - 3
UCA
32%
26%
42%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
UCA
1 - 2
YEC
26%
26%
49%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
CFB
2 - 0
UCA
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
CAL
1 - 2
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
AGU
5 - 1
CAL
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CAL
0 - 1
LOR
18%
25%
57%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
BAL
4 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
CAL
3 - 1
AFC
54%
23%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |