Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 2-3
UCAM Murcia vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
UCA
2 - 0
GRA
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UCA
2 - 1
SAN
73%
19%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
UCA
5 - 1
OLI
75%
18%
7%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
UCA
28%
30%
42%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UCA
2 - 1
CRD
69%
20%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CDE
2 - 2
SAG
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
COR
1 - 2
SAG
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
MLL
0 - 1
SAG
35%
26%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SAG
1 - 0
ALC
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SMR
1 - 0
SAG
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |