UCAM Murcia vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability

2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.5%
Win probability

0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
17º
5º
31
4º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
10º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
![]() |
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
![]() |
8º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
![]() |
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
![]() |
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
![]() |
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
![]() |
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
![]() 0 - 1
![]() UCA
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
05 Feb. 2023 |
UCA
![]() 4 - 0
![]() VEL
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
29 Jan. 2023 |
XER
![]() 1 - 2
![]() UCA
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
22 Jan. 2023 |
UCA
![]() 1 - 0
![]() SEV
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
15 Jan. 2023 |
UCA
![]() 0 - 0
![]() REC
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 Feb. 2023 |
UTR
![]() 1 - 0
![]() MAN
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
05 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
![]() 0 - 4
![]() JUV
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
29 Jan. 2023 |
VEL
![]() 1 - 0
![]() MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
22 Jan. 2023 |
MAN
![]() 2 - 1
![]() XER
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
15 Jan. 2023 |
MAN
![]() 1 - 0
![]() SEV
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |