UCAM Murcia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
54%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
UCA
4 - 1
PUL
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 0
NIJ
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 1
LOR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
IMP
3 - 2
UCA
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
UCA
0 - 0
IMP
23%
26%
51%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +22 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
RUN
2 - 1
ALA
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 1
RSO
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
OSA
2 - 2
ALA
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 0
CHI
17%
24%
58%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ZAR
2 - 3
ALA
23%
24%
54%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |