UC La Estrella vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
UCL
3 - 2
CPR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ORE
0 - 2
UCL
8%
17%
75%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
UCL
3 - 2
SPH
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
UCL
1 - 0
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 0
UCL
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 1
GIM
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 2
OLY
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CDT
1 - 1
GIM
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GIM
2 - 1
GUA
44%
24%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CDB
0 - 1
GIM
65%
18%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |