AlbinoLeffe vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
3 - 1
ABN
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
ABN
1 - 2
UDI
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 2
ABN
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
ABN
2 - 3
AVE
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
AVE
0 - 2
ABN
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 1
VER
53%
27%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 1
MOD
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 1
MAN
53%
25%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
MOD
3 - 0
TER
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOD
33%
27%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |