Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Last 16
Global 0-1
AlbinoLeffe vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 0
ABN
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAD
1 - 3
ABN
64%
23%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ABN
3 - 1
SAN
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ABN
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
ABN
1 - 1
POR
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 0
ABN
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
GER
1 - 0
ASL
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ASL
2 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
USC
1 - 0
ASL
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |