Ubrique Ind. vs Federico Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ubrique Ind.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BCA
3 - 1
UBR
78%
15%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
UBR
3 - 0
PUE
50%
24%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
RAY
3 - 0
UBR
70%
20%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
UBR
0 - 1
UDB
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
PAL
0 - 0
UBR
58%
23%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Federico Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FED
1 - 4
PLA
24%
23%
52%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
TRE
5 - 0
FED
70%
18%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
FED
3 - 4
ALG
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
UDT
4 - 0
FED
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
FED
1 - 1
ROC
13%
21%
67%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | +3 |