UB Conquense vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 0
UBC
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
UBC
2 - 1
TAL
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CDZ
2 - 1
UBC
26%
29%
45%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UBC
1 - 1
CAR
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CDB
1 - 0
UBC
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
DBN
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
3 - 0
JER
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 1
LOR
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
5 - 2
MAL
9%
22%
69%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +3 |