UB Conquense vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
VIL
4 - 0
UBC
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
UBC
3 - 1
NAV
81%
11%
8%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ATZ
4 - 2
UBC
75%
14%
11%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
UBC
2 - 1
HEL
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
CAS
3 - 1
UBC
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
ASP
3 - 2
JAV
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
IMP
5 - 4
ASP
94%
4%
2%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ASP
4 - 4
ORI
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ATC
3 - 1
ASP
87%
8%
5%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
CAT
4 - 1
ASP
87%
8%
5%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |