UAI Urquiza vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
23.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
RIE
0 - 1
UAI
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 3
UAI
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
UAI
0 - 1
ACA
35%
29%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UAI
1 - 1
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
UAI
61%
22%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
MER
35%
29%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 2
DEF
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
COL
34%
30%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
DEF
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ATL
21%
27%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |