Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Final
Global 2-1
UAEM Potros vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAEM Potros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 0
UAP
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
UAP
1 - 2
CIU
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
CIU
1 - 2
UAP
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
UAP
3 - 2
ATC
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ATC
2 - 1
UAP
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 0
UAP
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TIA
0 - 0
CIM
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
CIM
3 - 1
TIA
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CIM
4 - 0
LOR
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 0
CIM
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |