UA Zacatecas vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
8º
25
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 3
DUR
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 1
ZAC
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 0
MIN
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RVC
1 - 2
ZAC
27%
25%
49%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 1
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
CIM
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
CIM
1 - 0
IRA
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 2
PDC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
PDC
0 - 0
CIM
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
CIM
19%
25%
57%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | +1 |