Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Ua Ciudad Juárez vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ua Ciudad Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 2
CIU
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 2
CIU
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CIU
1 - 1
LOR
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ZAC
1 - 1
CIU
41%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CIM
1 - 1
CIU
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 2
CIU
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 0
OUN
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RCU
0 - 1
ORI
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 1
IPC
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
TUT
0 - 3
ORI
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |