UA Chihuahua vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
59.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Chihuahua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
REY
0 - 2
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 0
GUA
25%
28%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
NAY
0 - 0
CHI
70%
20%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 0
LOR
11%
22%
68%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 1
LOR
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
DUR
3 - 2
MUR
12%
22%
66%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
4 - 1
PAC
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
COR
1 - 3
MUR
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
3 - 0
GAV
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |