UA Chihuahua vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Chihuahua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
ZAC
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 0
CHI
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
LOR
20%
24%
57%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CIU
2 - 0
CHI
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
AGU
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 1
QUE
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 1
MUR
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 2
CIU
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CIM
2 - 1
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 3
TEC
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |