UA Chihuahua vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Chihuahua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TEP
1 - 0
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAC
51%
23%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CIM
1 - 1
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CAC
2 - 1
MUR
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
LOR
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
REY
2 - 2
MUR
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 0
CUR
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |