Real Forte Querceta vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ACS
0 - 0
USR
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
USR
1 - 1
SDT
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ACP
1 - 1
USR
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
USR
0 - 1
SGP
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 1
USR
22%
21%
56%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SDT
0 - 0
MON
51%
22%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
SER
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
FCV
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GAV
1 - 1
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
GHI
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |