Real Forte Querceta vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
USR
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
USR
1 - 4
GHI
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
FCV
3 - 0
USR
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
USR
0 - 1
SCA
68%
19%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GAV
0 - 0
USR
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
PIA
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACP
1 - 2
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
ACS
59%
21%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SGP
0 - 1
MON
12%
18%
71%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |