Real Forte Querceta vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 3
USR
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
USR
1 - 1
VFC
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
USR
3 - 0
FEZ
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
LAV
0 - 1
USR
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
USR
0 - 0
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ASL
0 - 1
BOR
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 1
ASL
28%
27%
46%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ASL
1 - 0
VFC
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
ASL
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ASL
2 - 1
LAV
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |